This is not a good sign for Jane Norton in the Colorado Republican primary for US Senate. She has released an internal poll (PDF) showing her with a small lead over Ken Buck, 39 to 33 percent, in an effort to tamp down the narrative that she is quickly falling well behind her rival for the Aug. 10 election. Even if this internal poll is accurate, and it’s likely the most pro-Norton of the internal polls they have, a six-point lead with a huge number of undecided answers is not an especially good position.
Norton skipped the GOP state convention, presumably because she knew she’d have a poor showing. Recently, two independent polls from SurveyUSA (Buck 53-Norton 37) and Magellan Strategies(PDF) (Buck 42-Norton 32) had Buck with a double-digit lead over Norton. The trend of the race is that the conservative, Tea Party-backed Buck has been steadily gaining on onetime front-runner Norton.
I can only guess Norton's team released this poll to try to convince people she is not falling into lost-cause territory. That is never a good place for a campaign to be less than two months from the election.
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