Jerry Brown 45
Meg Whitman 39
Barbara Boxer 45
Carly Fiorina 41
Republican candidate for governor Meg Whitman has just come off a heated primary in which she spent huge amounts on advertising. Whitman’s name recognition is likely higher even than Brown, a former governor, at this point, so having any lead right now puts Brown in respectable shape. But Brown is facing a candidate willing to spend well over a hundred million dollars of her own fortune on this political campaign, which should still be a scary prospect for the AG.
The news is a bit worse for Boxer. Not only is Carly Fiorina just four points behind, but Boxer is also an incumbent polling below 50 percent. Having a whopping 78 percent of Californians believing their state is on the wrong track means it is not a good environment for an incumbent. Of course, California is a heavily Democratic-leaning state, and even a substantial national swing to the Republican party might not be large enough to overcome the Democrats’ built-in advantage in the state.